Interactive statistics

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Module 3: Distributions

The normal distribution (the bell curve)

A random variable has a distribution — and distributions come in canonical shapes. One shows up so often it earned a name: the normal distribution, or "the bell". Let's see how it works and why it appears everywhere.

Normal

PDF — density: the height itself is not a probability; the probability of an interval = the area under the curve over it. Total area = 1.

value →
▏ theory (PDF)▮ sample (histogram)Mean ≈ 0.00 · values drawn: 0

A symmetric "bell": most values crowd near the center, thinning toward the edges. μ sets where the center stands, σ how widely values fan out (σ stretches the bell wider and lower, μ slides it along the axis). Appears wherever a quantity is the sum of many small independent random influences — heights, measurement errors, part deviations. Press "pour" — the real sample\'s histogram approaches the theoretical density.

Before you is the normal distribution curve. Horizontal axis — the value; vertical — how often it occurs. Most values crowd near the middle, and they thin out toward the edges. Hence the bell shape.

What it means

Knowing only μ and σ you can answer questions like "what share of people are taller than 190 cm" or "how unusual is this result" — without having the data itself.

Many techniques rest on normality: 3σ quality control, group comparisons, "norm" estimates. That is why recognizing the bell by shape matters.

Where it shows up

Adult height fits the bell almost perfectly. Medical norms are built the same way: values near the middle count as "normal", and deviation is measured in σ.

Manufacturing too: a part beyond ±3σ is flagged as defective — the famous "three-sigma rule".

The bell became fashionable in the 19th century thanks to Adolphe Quetelet: he noticed that the heights and weights of thousands of soldiers fall onto the normal curve and invented the concept of the "average man" — and, along the way, the body-mass index we still use.

Definitions
μ (mean)
the center of the bell — where it stands on the axis.
σ (standard deviation)
the width of the bell — how widely the values fan out.
Three-sigma rule
for the normal distribution: ≈68% of values lie within ±1σ of the center, ≈95% within ±2σ, 99.7% within ±3σ. The shares do not depend on the specific μ and σ.
z-scorez = (x − μ) / σ
how many standard deviations a value sits from the center. Converts any quantity to a "how rare is this" scale.
PDF (density)
the PDF button: the bell's height is not a probability; the probability of an interval = the area under the curve over it. Total area = 1.
CDF
the CDF button: cumulative probability — the height at x is the share of values ≤ x. For the bell it is a smooth S-shaped line from 0 to 1.
When the method lies (assumptions)

The 68-95-99.7 rule works only if the data really is close to normal. Real quantities are often skewed (incomes, session times, receipts) — the shares inside σ-intervals differ there, and an "outlier beyond 3σ" may be an ordinary tail value.

Normality tends to appear in sample MEANS (that is how the CLT works), not in raw data. Before applying the rule to individual observations, check the shape on a histogram.

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